1 Oz Krugerrand
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Buying
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Daily Gold Market Analysis- 28 March 2025

28 March 2025
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change ZAR
Change %
Gold
58789
57947
58618
58014
+604.00
+1.04%

Today’s analysis offers a comprehensive overview of the gold markets, highlighting the fundamental and technical factors shaping current trends. Our report is designed to provide investors with the insights necessary to navigate these markets with confidence.

Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices continue to draw safe-haven flows as trade tensions escalate. Expectations of a Fed rate cut are keeping USD bulls on the back foot, offering additional support to gold. Traders are now focused on the upcoming US PCE Price Index for potential market-moving data. The fourth-quarter GDP growth was revised to an annualized 2.4%, surpassing both the previous figure and the consensus estimate of 2.3%. Additionally, US Initial Jobless Claims came in at 224K, better than the expected 225K. On Wednesday, Trump revealed plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported cars and light trucks, set to take effect on April 3, with auto parts duties starting on May 3. Markets are also bracing for a wave of reciprocal tariffs starting April 2.

Gold

The daily chart reveals that Gold has exceeded its ascending triangle target of $3,080, suggesting the possibility of a minor pullback in the short term. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered the overbought territory, reinforcing the case for a potential correction. Should a pullback occur, immediate support for Gold buyers is seen at $3,058, with the $3,000 level acting as a more substantial support. Conversely, if buyers maintain momentum, the next key target on the upside is $3,100. A breakout above this level could present fresh buying opportunities, potentially driving the price toward the $3,150 mark. The Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 90, while the RSI stands at 72.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
58000
58275
58485
58853
59168
59430
59850

Indicator Definitions

  • Stochastic Oscillator: Measures momentum by comparing the closing price to its price range over a specific period. It signals overbought conditions when above 80 and oversold conditions when below 20.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): Assesses price changes to determine overbought or oversold conditions. A reading above 70 indicates overbought conditions, while a reading below 30 suggests oversold conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
Core PCE Price Index m/m
4:30pm
0.3%
0.3%
Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
6:00pm
57.9
57.9

Conclusion

In the dynamic and constantly changing bullion market, staying informed through both technical and fundamental analysis is essential for making sound investment decisions. Our report aims to offer a balanced perspective to help investors navigate the complexities of gold trading.

Disclaimer: This report is provided solely for informational purposes, based on data from reliable sources, and should not be construed as investment advice. ISA BULLION (Pty) Ltd makes no representations or warranties regarding the accuracy or completeness of the report and disclaims any responsibility for any losses that may result from reliance on the information presented. Users are encouraged to perform their own research and seek advice from professional advisors before making investment decisions. ISA BULLION (Pty) Ltd, along with its directors, partners, officers, employees, and agents, disclaims any liability for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from the use or reliance on this information.