1 Oz Krugerrand
Selling
R
|
Buying
R

Daily Gold Market Analysis- 4 December 2024

04 December 2024
OTC Market Data
High
Low
Close
Previous
Change ZAR
Change %
Gold
50765
50376
50557
50534
+23.00
+0.05%

Today’s Analysis

Today’s analysis provides a detailed examination of the gold markets, highlighting the fundamental and technical factors shaping current trends. This report is designed to equip investors with actionable insights, enabling them to navigate the intricacies of the market confidently.

 

Fundamental Analysis

Gold prices are steady early Wednesday, struggling to extend the previous session’s rebound as markets await key US economic data releases and a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The US JOLTs Job Openings data revealed a stronger-than-expected labor market, rising to 7.744 million against an expected 7.48 million.

This positive labor market data momentarily boosted the US Dollar (USD), capping the gold price recovery near $2,655. However, gold buyers maintained control as the USD failed to sustain its gains. The labor data also did little to shift expectations of a 25-basis-point (bps) interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve later this month. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool indicates a 73% probability of a December rate reduction, aligning with previous market sentiments.


Technical Analysis

Gold
Gold prices are hovering near the critical short-term support of the 50-day Moving Average, currently at $2,633, with buyers appearing hesitant. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 mark, reflecting a cautious trading environment. The bearish implications of last week’s Bear Cross remain intact, adding to the downside risks.

  • Resistance Levels: Gold sellers need to breach the $2,676 static support to challenge the $2,700 mark.
  • Support Levels: A further decline from current levels could expose the 100-day SMA at $2,572.
  • Stochastic Oscillator: 56
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): 48

The gold market remains at a critical juncture, with significant support and resistance levels providing key insights into potential price movements in the near term.

Support 3
Support 2
Support 1
Current Market Price
Resistance 1
Resistance 2
Resistance 3
48783
49430
50077
50640
51178
51630
52151

Indicator Definitions

  • Stochastic Oscillator:
    A momentum indicator that measures the relationship between an asset’s closing price and its price range over a defined period. Readings above 80 signal overbought conditions, while readings below 20 indicate oversold conditions.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI):
    A technical indicator that evaluates the magnitude and speed of price changes to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. Readings above 70 suggest overbought conditions, while readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions.
Key US Economic Reports & Events
When
Actual
Expected
Previous
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
5:15pm
152K
233K
ISM Services PMI
7:00pm
55.7
56.0
Fed Chair Powell Speaks
10:45pm
NA
NA
NA

Conclusion

In the ever-changing and intricate world of bullion markets, staying informed through both technical and fundamental analysis is essential for making sound investment decisions. This report aims to provide a well-rounded perspective, empowering investors to navigate the complexities of gold trading with confidence and clarity.

This report is provided for informational purposes only, based on data from reputable sources, but is not intended as investment advice. ISA BULLION (Pty) Ltd makes no guarantees as to the report's accuracy or completeness and disclaims any liability for losses that may arise from reliance on this information. Users are advised to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions. ISA BULLION (Pty) Ltd, along with any associated directors, partners, officers, employees, or agents, expressly disclaims any responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage arising from the use or reliance on the information provided herein.